20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BANYSEBoeing Company | 2023-01-312023-02-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.16% |
| 2 | BALLNYSEBall Corp. | 2008-08-142008-09-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -4.81% |
| 3 | APANASDAQAPA Corporation | 2013-07-252013-08-21 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +2.53% |
| 4 | KKRNYSEKKR & Co. Inc. | 2019-02-042019-03-04 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk4.0 | -0.52% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of +1.0%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -4.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.