20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MTDNYSEMettler-Toledo International Inc. | 2020-11-202020-12-18 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume2.0Risk5.0 | -0.01% |
| 2 | KKRNYSEKKR & Co. Inc. | 2019-04-172019-05-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.85% |
| 3 | EFXNYSEEquifax Inc. | 2013-12-172014-01-15 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.69% |
| 4 | PANWNASDAQPalo Alto Networks, Inc. | 2016-08-082016-09-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.36% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +1.5%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -0.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.