20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FIXNYSEComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 2009-06-242009-07-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.02% |
| 2 | HSYNYSEThe Hershey Company | 2022-01-132022-02-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.24% |
| 3 | CDNSNASDAQCadence Design Systems, Inc. | 2015-10-082015-11-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.49% |
| 4 | GEVNYSEGE Vernova Inc. | 2025-02-252025-03-24 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -11.14% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of +0.1%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -11.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.