20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BF.BNYSEBrown-Forman Corporation | 2023-06-232023-07-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.21% |
| 2 | SHWNYSEThe Sherwin-Williams Company | 2020-06-262020-07-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.50% |
| 3 | AXPNYSEAmerican Express Company | 2007-11-072007-12-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -6.65% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +3.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -6.6%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.