20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
9 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MOSNYSEMosaic Company | 2007-09-132007-10-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +6.23% |
| 2 | CTASNASDAQCintas Corporation | 2017-05-162017-06-13 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +2.22% |
| 3 | ANYSEAgilent Technologies Inc. | 2014-04-252014-05-22 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +2.52% |
| 4 | EQTNYSEEQT Corporation | 2010-12-302011-01-27 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | +5.11% |
| 5 | DUKNYSEDuke Energy Corporation | 2019-06-062019-07-03 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | -0.72% |
| 6 | WFCNYSEWells Fargo & Company | 2025-01-212025-02-18 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -5.92% |
| 7 | DPZNASDAQDomino's Pizza Inc. | 2014-11-142014-12-12 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.65% |
| 8 | HUMNYSEHumana Inc. | 2012-12-122013-01-10 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +3.28% |
| 9 | NEENYSENextEra Energy, Inc. | 2019-06-062019-07-03 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.80% |
Showing 1-9 of 9 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 9 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 78% of the time with a median move of +2.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.