20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
9 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSXNASDAQCSX Corporation | 2007-01-312007-02-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.65% |
| 2 | CBRENYSECBRE Group Inc. | 2015-10-152015-11-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.08% |
| 3 | VRTXNASDAQVertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated | 2007-05-022007-05-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -4.58% |
| 4 | AMZNNASDAQAmazon.com, Inc. | 2009-05-182009-06-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -4.84% |
| 5 | BBYNYSEBest Buy Co., Inc. | 2011-04-292011-05-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -1.49% |
| 6 | DISNYSEThe Walt Disney Company | 2010-12-212011-01-19 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.90% |
| 7 | TSNNYSETyson Foods Inc. | 2026-01-122026-02-09 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | -3.82% |
| 8 | PKGNYSEPackaging Corporation of America | 2014-12-042015-01-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | +0.34% |
| 9 | MONYSEAltria Group, Inc. | 2021-12-032021-12-31 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | +5.02% |
Showing 1-9 of 9 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 9 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 56% of the time with a median move of -1.5%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.