20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
17 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CMENASDAQCME Group Inc. | 2020-12-232021-01-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.25% |
| 2 | DPZNASDAQDomino's Pizza Inc. | 2009-09-022009-09-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -7.01% |
| 3 | PODDNASDAQInsulet Corporation | 2009-08-282009-09-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.10% |
| 4 | TRMBNASDAQTrimble Inc. | 2007-07-202007-08-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +6.32% |
| 5 | AZONYSEAutoZone Inc. | 2017-11-152017-12-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.03% |
| 6 | FFIVNASDAQF5 Inc. | 2011-04-082011-05-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.71% |
| 7 | TSLANASDAQTesla, Inc. | 2017-11-292017-12-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.96% |
| 8 | AAPLNASDAQApple Inc. | 2006-12-262007-01-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.75% |
| 9 | NDSNNASDAQNordson Corporation | 2010-02-102010-03-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.30% |
| 10 | SMCINASDAQSuper Micro Computer Inc | 2014-10-102014-11-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.46% |
| 11 | PODDNASDAQInsulet Corporation | 2019-04-232019-05-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +5.16% |
| 12 | DLTRNASDAQDollar Tree, Inc. | 2020-12-232021-01-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.77% |
| 13 | FASTNASDAQFastenal Co. | 2008-01-092008-02-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +10.51% |
| 14 | RFNYSERegions Financial Corporation | 2025-11-282025-12-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.73% |
| 15 | SRENYSESempra | 2012-11-232012-12-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.63% |
| 16 | HPQNYSEHP Inc. | 2011-06-202011-07-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.91% |
| 17 | MRNANASDAQModerna, Inc. | 2020-02-122020-03-11 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +33.76% |
Showing 1-17 of 17 matches
Commentary
Moderately bullish skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 17 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 59% of the time with a median move of +1.0%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -7.0%.