20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CMSNYSECMS Energy Corporation | 2012-08-072012-09-04 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.13% |
| 2 | ALLNYSEAllstate Corporation | 2009-02-192009-03-18 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume3.0Risk4.0 | +1.78% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 100% of the time with a median move of +1.0%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. No historical forward outcomes finished negative, though intra-window downside risk was elevated; the weakest final outcome was +0.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.