20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZBHNYSEZimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. | 2022-09-012022-09-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.25% |
| 2 | VSTNYSEVistra Corp | 2018-10-262018-11-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.71% |
| 3 | KDPNASDAQKeurig Dr Pepper Inc. | 2011-06-222011-07-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -5.25% |
| 4 | TRMBNASDAQTrimble Inc. | 2009-12-162010-01-14 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -8.36% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -1.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -8.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.