20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEMNYSENewmont Corporation | 2020-07-092020-08-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -10.49% |
| 2 | MSNYSEMorgan Stanley | 2018-10-222018-11-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.34% |
| 3 | HRLNYSEHormel Foods Corporation | 2020-04-302020-05-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.19% |
| 4 | EIXNYSEEdison International | 2025-10-272025-11-21 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -0.77% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -0.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -10.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.