20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
7 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LLYNYSEEli Lilly and Company | 2020-08-172020-09-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.46% |
| 2 | RTXNYSERTX Corporation | 2009-06-112009-07-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +8.70% |
| 3 | GPNNYSEGlobal Payments Inc. | 2012-05-182012-06-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.05% |
| 4 | SHWNYSEThe Sherwin-Williams Company | 2021-12-082022-01-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -4.39% |
| 5 | AXONNASDAQAxon Enterprise, Inc. | 2026-02-272026-03-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -8.36% |
| 6 | EXCNASDAQExelon Corporation | 2016-06-012016-06-28 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +5.02% |
| 7 | KMBNASDAQKimberly-Clark Corporation | 2012-05-082012-06-05 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.81% |
Showing 1-7 of 7 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 7 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 71% of the time with a median move of +1.5%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -8.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.