20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CMENASDAQCME Group Inc. | 2022-03-022022-03-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.42% |
| 2 | HSICNASDAQHenry Schein, Inc. | 2012-06-152012-07-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.17% |
| 3 | RJFNYSERaymond James Financial Inc. | 2012-06-152012-07-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.73% |
| 4 | SNPSNASDAQSynopsys, Inc. | 2014-01-282014-02-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.53% |
| 5 | LENNYSELennar Corporation | 2019-08-062019-09-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.16% |
| 6 | HASNASDAQHasbro Inc. | 2006-12-042007-01-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.05% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +0.6%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -1.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.