20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMENYSEEMCOR Group, Inc. | 2007-03-162007-04-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.78% |
| 2 | BALLNYSEBall Corp. | 2019-07-152019-08-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.80% |
| 3 | MOSNYSEMosaic Company | 2024-03-082024-04-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.55% |
| 4 | AVYNYSEAvery Dennison Corporation | 2023-11-242023-12-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.27% |
| 5 | STZNYSEConstellation Brands, Inc. | 2022-07-212022-08-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.92% |
| 6 | MONYSEAltria Group, Inc. | 2025-09-042025-10-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.31% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of +1.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.6%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.