20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNYSEAT&T Inc. | 2019-05-072019-06-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.00% |
| 2 | NINYSENiSource Inc. | 2013-06-282013-07-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -0.29% |
| 3 | NRGNYSENRG Energy, Inc. | 2019-10-082019-11-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -5.56% |
| 4 | MSNYSEMorgan Stanley | 2008-12-232009-01-22 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk3.0 | +23.27% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of +0.9%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.6%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.