20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
14 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ISRGNASDAQIntuitive Surgical, Inc. | 2018-05-142018-06-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.01% |
| 2 | FITBNASDAQFifth Third Bancorp | 2024-04-022024-04-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.70% |
| 3 | RFNYSERegions Financial Corporation | 2012-04-042012-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -3.67% |
| 4 | BRNYSEBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | 2024-10-172024-11-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.58% |
| 5 | FDSNYSEFactSet Research Systems Inc. | 2012-08-222012-09-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -5.05% |
| 6 | ZBHNYSEZimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. | 2022-08-182022-09-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -6.70% |
| 7 | KMBNASDAQKimberly-Clark Corporation | 2009-07-062009-07-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.52% |
| 8 | HASNASDAQHasbro Inc. | 2017-01-182017-02-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.04% |
| 9 | CLXNYSEThe Clorox Company | 2024-01-162024-02-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.98% |
| 10 | ORCLNYSEOracle Corporation | 2026-03-242026-04-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -8.40% |
| 11 | MLMNYSEMartin Marietta Materials, Inc. | 2015-01-222015-02-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.05% |
| 12 | ROKNYSERockwell Automation, Inc. | 2022-07-082022-08-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.41% |
| 13 | ROLNYSERollins, Inc. | 2015-10-302015-11-27 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -0.51% |
| 14 | JCINYSEJohnson Controls International plc | 2008-01-032008-01-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.18% |
Showing 1-14 of 14 matches
Commentary
Historically negative skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 14 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 79% of the time with a median move of -1.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -8.4%.