20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PNRNYSEPentair plc | 2012-05-162012-06-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.65% |
| 2 | HUBBNYSEHubbell Inc. | 2007-12-172008-01-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.10% |
| 3 | ADMNYSEArcher-Daniels-Midland Co | 2021-08-032021-08-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.20% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 67% of the time with a median move of -1.2%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -2.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.