20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MPCNYSEMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 2023-02-022023-03-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.96% |
| 2 | PWRNYSEQuanta Services Inc. | 2023-07-122023-08-08 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.25% |
| 3 | LNTNASDAQAlliant Energy Corporation | 2010-11-192010-12-17 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.27% |
| 4 | JNYSEJacobs Solutions Inc. | 2007-03-292007-04-26 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.25% |
| 5 | QCOMNASDAQQUALCOMM Incorporated | 2014-06-232014-07-21 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.82% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 60% and a median move of +0.2%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.