20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVGONASDAQBroadcom Inc. | 2021-04-122021-05-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.42% |
| 2 | KHCNASDAQThe Kraft Heinz Company | 2018-02-092018-03-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.78% |
| 3 | UPSNYSEUnited Parcel Service, Inc. | 2020-01-232020-02-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -14.42% |
| 4 | CPBNASDAQThe Campbell's Company | 2009-12-292010-01-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.82% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 75% of the time with a median move of -2.6%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -14.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.