20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WRBNYSEW.R. Berkley Corporation | 2008-04-042008-05-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.72% |
| 2 | SWKSNASDAQSkyworks Solutions Inc. | 2011-05-172011-06-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -9.55% |
| 3 | AIGNYSEAmerican International Group Inc. | 2014-07-152014-08-11 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | +2.99% |
| 4 | LLYNYSEEli Lilly and Company | 2012-03-272012-04-24 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +3.20% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of +1.1%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -9.6%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.