20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UPSNYSEUnited Parcel Service, Inc. | 2022-05-032022-05-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +1.79% |
| 2 | STTNYSEState Street Corp | 2012-01-092012-02-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.83% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -1.0%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.