20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GPNNYSEGlobal Payments Inc. | 2019-03-042019-03-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.28% |
| 2 | PCGNYSEPG&E Corporation | 2023-02-062023-03-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -5.85% |
| 3 | LYVNYSELive Nation Entertainment, Inc. | 2026-04-172026-05-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.36% |
| 4 | DLTRNASDAQDollar Tree, Inc. | 2009-06-182009-07-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.85% |
| 5 | AXONNASDAQAxon Enterprise, Inc. | 2014-07-112014-08-07 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +4.35% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 60% of the time with a median move of +0.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.