20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
11 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CINYSEThe Cigna Group | 2019-08-272019-09-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.74% |
| 2 | TRMBNASDAQTrimble Inc. | 2020-12-242021-01-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.43% |
| 3 | TROWNASDAQT. Rowe Price Group, Inc. | 2008-04-142008-05-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.61% |
| 4 | LINNASDAQLinde plc | 2018-09-072018-10-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -6.98% |
| 5 | GMNYSEGeneral Motors Company | 2015-10-092015-11-05 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.99% |
| 6 | BLKNYSEBlackRock, Inc. | 2016-11-282016-12-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.18% |
| 7 | WSMNYSEWilliams-Sonoma, Inc. | 2016-10-312016-11-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.86% |
| 8 | AWKNYSEAmerican Water Works Company, Inc. | 2024-03-152024-04-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.67% |
| 9 | PMNYSEPhilip Morris International Inc. | 2021-08-232021-09-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.51% |
| 10 | RSGNYSERepublic Services, Inc. | 2017-10-162017-11-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.59% |
| 11 | PEGNYSEPublic Service Enterprise Group Incorporated | 2017-11-162017-12-14 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.79% |
Showing 1-11 of 11 matches
Commentary
Historically negative skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 11 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 55% of the time with a median move of -1.0%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -7.0%.