20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JBLNYSEJabil Inc. | 2015-10-292015-11-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.95% |
| 2 | INTUNASDAQIntuit Inc. | 2011-12-152012-01-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.71% |
| 3 | ODFLNASDAQOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | 2016-03-232016-04-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.27% |
| 4 | XOMNYSEExxon Mobil Corporation | 2010-02-102010-03-10 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.21% |
| 5 | JBLNYSEJabil Inc. | 2010-06-182010-07-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +3.52% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 80% of the time with a median move of +2.3%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -0.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.