20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AXPNYSEAmerican Express Company | 2016-05-052016-06-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.05% |
| 2 | TRVNYSEThe Travelers Companies, Inc. | 2016-05-052016-06-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.02% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -0.5%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Historical downside was relatively contained, with the worst outcome at -1.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.