20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
8 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSCNYSENorfolk Southern Corporation | 2015-09-102015-10-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.66% |
| 2 | MSCINYSEMSCI Inc. | 2014-09-292014-10-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.43% |
| 3 | CSXNASDAQCSX Corporation | 2015-09-102015-10-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -4.16% |
| 4 | CDWNASDAQCDW Corporation | 2024-04-022024-04-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -9.81% |
| 5 | GPCNYSEGenuine Parts Company | 2013-05-162013-06-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.73% |
| 6 | DENYSEDeere & Company | 2009-06-222009-07-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +7.36% |
| 7 | TTWONASDAQTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc. | 2012-12-072013-01-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.33% |
| 8 | ELNYSEThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc. Class A | 2009-06-222009-07-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.26% |
Showing 1-8 of 8 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 8 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -1.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -9.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.