20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | METNYSEMetLife Inc. | 2007-07-102007-08-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.07% |
| 2 | PHNYSEParker-Hannifin Corporation | 2018-02-082018-03-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.60% |
| 3 | CRLNYSECharles River Laboratories International, Inc. | 2010-10-192010-11-15 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.18% |
| 4 | PCARNASDAQPACCAR Inc. | 2017-03-272017-04-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.29% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 75% of the time with a median move of -0.8%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -2.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.