20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LITENASDAQLumentum Holdings Inc. | 2024-05-132024-06-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +6.45% |
| 2 | EMENYSEEMCOR Group, Inc. | 2014-09-162014-10-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.11% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 100% of the time with a median move of +4.3%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. No historical forward outcomes finished negative, though intra-window downside risk was elevated; the weakest final outcome was +2.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.