20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
8 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EXPENASDAQExpedia Group, Inc. | 2016-04-052016-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.36% |
| 2 | EOGNYSEEOG Resources, Inc. | 2012-07-102012-08-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.37% |
| 3 | XYLNYSEXylem Inc. | 2025-01-072025-02-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.08% |
| 4 | PANWNASDAQPalo Alto Networks, Inc. | 2016-08-082016-09-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.36% |
| 5 | AJGNYSEArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 2016-04-052016-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.02% |
| 6 | CORNYSECencora, Inc. | 2013-02-212013-03-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.94% |
| 7 | WECNYSEWEC Energy Group Inc. | 2026-01-072026-02-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.18% |
| 8 | KMBNASDAQKimberly-Clark Corporation | 2019-05-072019-06-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.21% |
Showing 1-8 of 8 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 8 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +0.5%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.