20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
15 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DENYSEDeere & Company | 2021-01-252021-02-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +6.52% |
| 2 | PANWNASDAQPalo Alto Networks, Inc. | 2016-08-082016-09-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.36% |
| 3 | EXPENASDAQExpedia Group, Inc. | 2009-07-062009-07-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +8.74% |
| 4 | MCONYSEMoody's Corporation | 2025-12-082026-01-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.38% |
| 5 | APANASDAQAPA Corporation | 2025-07-142025-08-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.35% |
| 6 | PHMNYSEPulteGroup Inc. | 2018-11-082018-12-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.36% |
| 7 | TTDNASDAQThe Trade Desk, Inc. Class A | 2017-08-152017-09-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.06% |
| 8 | XYLNYSEXylem Inc. | 2025-01-072025-02-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.08% |
| 9 | MARNASDAQMarriott International Inc. - Class A | 2019-01-172019-02-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +8.62% |
| 10 | AJGNYSEArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 2016-04-052016-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.02% |
| 11 | EXPENASDAQExpedia Group, Inc. | 2014-08-062014-09-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.54% |
| 12 | KMBNASDAQKimberly-Clark Corporation | 2019-05-072019-06-04 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.21% |
| 13 | ACGLNASDAQArch Capital Group Ltd | 2019-04-172019-05-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.41% |
| 14 | WECNYSEWEC Energy Group Inc. | 2026-01-072026-02-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.18% |
| 15 | MKCNYSEMcCormick & Company, Incorporated | 2017-10-052017-11-01 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.43% |
Showing 1-15 of 15 matches
Commentary
Moderately bullish skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 15 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 73% of the time with a median move of +0.4%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.4%.