20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
7 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | INTUNASDAQIntuit Inc. | 2008-05-072008-06-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.25% |
| 2 | CVSNYSECVS Health Corporation | 2025-07-222025-08-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.48% |
| 3 | JCINYSEJohnson Controls International plc | 2021-07-152021-08-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.75% |
| 4 | PANWNASDAQPalo Alto Networks, Inc. | 2017-09-212017-10-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.76% |
| 5 | JBHTNASDAQJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | 2021-07-152021-08-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.28% |
| 6 | PAYXNASDAQPaychex Inc. | 2009-03-092009-04-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.13% |
| 7 | RFNYSERegions Financial Corporation | 2010-08-242010-09-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.14% |
Showing 1-7 of 7 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 7 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 57% of the time with a median move of -0.8%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.