20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PNWNYSEPinnacle West Capital Corporation | 2023-08-212023-09-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.12% |
| 2 | HASNASDAQHasbro Inc. | 2011-03-312011-04-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.79% |
| 3 | EQTNYSEEQT Corporation | 2007-11-122007-12-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.52% |
| 4 | MKCNYSEMcCormick & Company, Incorporated | 2014-07-172014-08-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.55% |
| 5 | AMGNNASDAQAmgen Inc. | 2012-08-302012-09-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.55% |
| 6 | SMCINASDAQSuper Micro Computer Inc | 2016-02-232016-03-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.24% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +1.7%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.