20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNPNYSEUnion Pacific Corporation | 2014-11-172014-12-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +7.18% |
| 2 | HPQNYSEHP Inc. | 2012-05-212012-06-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -7.22% |
| 3 | WYNNNASDAQWynn Resorts, Limited | 2012-05-212012-06-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.72% |
| 4 | PCARNASDAQPACCAR Inc. | 2017-10-122017-11-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.96% |
| 5 | HSYNYSEThe Hershey Company | 2023-06-152023-07-14 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.25% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 60% of the time with a median move of +1.7%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -7.2%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.