20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TSNNYSETyson Foods Inc. | 2014-06-102014-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.05% |
| 2 | FSLRNASDAQFirst Solar, Inc. | 2021-03-042021-03-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -7.00% |
| 3 | MOSNYSEMosaic Company | 2020-06-242020-07-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.25% |
| 4 | MSCINYSEMSCI Inc. | 2008-12-092009-01-07 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -7.49% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -3.5%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -7.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.