20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
56 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FISNYSEFidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 2022-10-112022-11-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.32% |
| 2 | CIENNYSECiena Corporation | 2016-02-082016-03-07 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | +3.48% |
| 3 | BIIBNASDAQBiogen Inc. | 2007-11-192007-12-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +5.11% |
| 4 | IFFNYSEInternational Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | 2016-01-192016-02-16 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend4.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | -2.93% |
| 5 | STXNASDAQSeagate Technology Holdings plc | 2011-06-272011-07-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | -5.53% |
| 6 | CSGPNASDAQCoStar Group, Inc. | 2026-01-082026-02-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -11.69% |
| 7 | CMGNYSEChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | 2017-10-022017-10-27 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | -0.94% |
| 8 | COONASDAQThe Cooper Companies, Inc. | 2025-08-052025-09-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | +4.47% |
| 9 | TTWONASDAQTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc. | 2018-01-162018-02-12 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend4.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | -2.23% |
| 10 | NTAPNASDAQNetApp, Inc. | 2024-08-062024-09-03 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk2.0 | -3.35% |
| 11 | APONYSEApollo Global Management, Inc. | 2020-01-062020-02-03 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | +3.42% |
| 12 | CMGNYSEChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | 2020-02-032020-03-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | -14.43% |
| 13 | BAXNYSEBaxter International Inc. | 2023-04-142023-05-11 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend4.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk2.0 | -0.81% |
| 14 | HUBBNYSEHubbell Inc. | 2006-11-152006-12-13 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | -0.22% |
| 15 | GRMNNYSEGarmin Ltd. | 2015-09-222015-10-19 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend4.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | +3.56% |
| 16 | BSXNYSEBoston Scientific Corporation | 2011-04-142011-05-12 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk2.0 | -0.14% |
| 17 | ITNYSEGartner Inc. | 2011-04-112011-05-09 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend4.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk2.0 | -3.05% |
| 18 | XYLNYSEXylem Inc. | 2019-10-082019-11-04 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend4.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk2.0 | -3.61% |
| 19 | ZBHNYSEZimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. | 2024-08-122024-09-09 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk2.0 | +2.48% |
| 20 | OTISNYSEOtis Worldwide Corporation | 2024-06-282024-07-26 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend4.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk2.0 | +0.87% |
Showing 1-20 of 56 matches
Commentary
Historically negative skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 56 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 54% of the time with a median move of -0.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -14.4%.