20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
99 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIINYSELennox International Inc. | 2014-09-262014-10-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.68% |
| 2 | GOOGNASDAQAlphabet Inc. | 2010-09-232010-10-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.40% |
| 3 | GOOGLNASDAQAlphabet Inc. | 2010-09-232010-10-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.40% |
| 4 | TGTNYSETarget Corporation | 2024-02-092024-03-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.24% |
| 5 | BKRNASDAQBaker Hughes Company | 2025-06-302025-07-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -6.02% |
| 6 | IDXXNASDAQIDEXX Laboratories, Inc. | 2016-07-112016-08-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.59% |
| 7 | AMZNNASDAQAmazon.com, Inc. | 2017-10-052017-11-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.65% |
| 8 | LYVNYSELive Nation Entertainment, Inc. | 2013-07-162013-08-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -6.02% |
| 9 | GWWNYSEW.W. Grainger, Inc. | 2017-09-252017-10-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.87% |
| 10 | WBDNASDAQWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc. | 2019-10-162019-11-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.70% |
| 11 | LOWNYSELowe's Companies Inc. | 2018-05-012018-05-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.80% |
| 12 | QCOMNASDAQQUALCOMM Incorporated | 2021-10-132021-11-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +9.04% |
| 13 | CAGNYSEConagra Brands Inc. | 2019-11-262019-12-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.23% |
| 14 | COONASDAQThe Cooper Companies, Inc. | 2024-08-072024-09-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.81% |
| 15 | DECKNYSEDeckers Outdoor Corporation | 2007-01-112007-02-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.12% |
| 16 | WBDNASDAQWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc. | 2018-08-202018-09-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.34% |
| 17 | HUMNYSEHumana Inc. | 2013-03-072013-04-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.98% |
| 18 | NDSNNASDAQNordson Corporation | 2011-01-312011-02-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.84% |
| 19 | CASYNASDAQCasey's General Stores Inc. | 2023-08-182023-09-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.35% |
| 20 | NUENYSENucor Corporation | 2016-10-182016-11-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.10% |
Showing 1-20 of 99 matches
Commentary
Historically negative skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 99 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 57% of the time with a median move of -0.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -7.4%.