20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
12 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBNYSEChubb Limited | 2008-08-082008-09-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.34% |
| 2 | NFLXNASDAQNetflix, Inc. | 2019-05-022019-05-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.50% |
| 3 | TAPNYSEMolson Coors Beverage Company | 2017-04-242017-05-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.19% |
| 4 | HASNASDAQHasbro Inc. | 2019-05-022019-05-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +6.57% |
| 5 | HLTNYSEHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 2014-12-232015-01-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.35% |
| 6 | INCYNASDAQIncyte Corporation | 2021-04-232021-05-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.99% |
| 7 | METANASDAQMeta Platforms Inc Class A | 2019-05-022019-05-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -8.02% |
| 8 | HRLNYSEHormel Foods Corporation | 2020-11-132020-12-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.57% |
| 9 | STENYSESTERIS plc | 2014-07-222014-08-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.64% |
| 10 | MGMNYSEMGM Resorts International | 2022-02-242022-03-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.23% |
| 11 | AONNYSEAon plc | 2017-08-082017-09-05 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.81% |
| 12 | COSTNASDAQCostco Wholesale Corporation | 2016-07-182016-08-12 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.60% |
Showing 1-12 of 12 matches
Commentary
Moderately bullish skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 12 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 58% of the time with a median move of +1.5%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -8.0%.