20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HIINYSEHuntington Ingalls Industries Inc. | 2011-06-092011-07-07 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk4.0 | -2.73% |
| 2 | SWKSNASDAQSkyworks Solutions Inc. | 2013-09-052013-10-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume2.0Risk4.0 | -1.95% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 100% of the time with a median move of -2.3%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -2.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.