20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FENYSEFirstEnergy Corp. | 2021-02-102021-03-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.88% |
| 2 | GEHCNASDAQGE HealthCare Technologies Inc. | 2024-01-302024-02-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.77% |
| 3 | CRHNYSECRH plc | 2009-07-272009-08-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -6.35% |
| 4 | EQTNYSEEQT Corporation | 2013-08-152013-09-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +6.12% |
| 5 | MSFTNASDAQMicrosoft Corp. | 2010-12-302011-01-27 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -4.23% |
| 6 | BXNYSEBlackstone Inc. | 2017-08-232017-09-20 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.95% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of +0.1%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -6.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.