20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
16 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMRNYSEEmerson Electric Co. | 2023-01-032023-01-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.06% |
| 2 | UNHNYSEUnitedHealth Group Incorporated | 2008-01-082008-02-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.29% |
| 3 | ERIENASDAQErie Indemnity Company | 2025-11-242025-12-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.59% |
| 4 | CSGPNASDAQCoStar Group, Inc. | 2025-12-232026-01-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -6.53% |
| 5 | BKRNASDAQBaker Hughes Company | 2018-08-022018-08-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -8.85% |
| 6 | WSMNYSEWilliams-Sonoma, Inc. | 2018-11-052018-12-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -10.74% |
| 7 | ELNYSEThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc. Class A | 2025-01-222025-02-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +2.63% |
| 8 | DECKNYSEDeckers Outdoor Corporation | 2017-01-232017-02-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +2.71% |
| 9 | BENNYSEFranklin Resources Inc. | 2020-10-142020-11-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.47% |
| 10 | MPWRNASDAQMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. | 2014-09-292014-10-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +9.19% |
| 11 | WATNYSEWaters Corporation | 2024-11-042024-12-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.27% |
| 12 | EQTNYSEEQT Corporation | 2018-10-122018-11-08 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk3.0 | -9.21% |
| 13 | PFGNASDAQPrincipal Financial Group, Inc. | 2014-12-012014-12-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -6.97% |
| 14 | FASTNASDAQFastenal Co. | 2021-06-022021-06-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.73% |
| 15 | UNHNYSEUnitedHealth Group Incorporated | 2025-04-302025-05-28 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | +0.76% |
| 16 | OMCNYSEOmnicom Group Inc. | 2014-12-012014-12-29 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.96% |
Showing 1-16 of 16 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes
Similar setups appeared 16 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 56% and a median move of +0.7%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -10.7%.