20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APANASDAQAPA Corporation | 2025-07-142025-08-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +2.35% |
| 2 | WABNYSEWabtec Corporation | 2008-07-312008-08-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -7.18% |
| 3 | MARNASDAQMarriott International Inc. - Class A | 2013-10-072013-11-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.90% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 67% and a median move of +0.9%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -7.2%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.