20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
7 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | METANASDAQMeta Platforms Inc Class A | 2015-08-262015-09-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -4.33% |
| 2 | HSICNASDAQHenry Schein, Inc. | 2012-06-152012-07-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.17% |
| 3 | RJFNYSERaymond James Financial Inc. | 2012-06-152012-07-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.73% |
| 4 | AAPLNASDAQApple Inc. | 2015-08-262015-09-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -3.52% |
| 5 | RFNYSERegions Financial Corporation | 2012-06-152012-07-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -4.33% |
| 6 | AMATNASDAQApplied Materials, Inc. | 2016-03-302016-04-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -5.50% |
| 7 | GPCNYSEGenuine Parts Company | 2022-07-272022-08-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.97% |
Showing 1-7 of 7 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 7 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 86% of the time with a median move of -3.5%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -5.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.