Overview
- Historical Similar Setups
- 2since 2008
- Across
- 2different symbols
- Consistency
- Moderate
- Reliability
- Low
Positive (5D)
50%Positive (5D)
- Avg. Return (5D)
- -3.40%
- Median Return (5D)
- -3.40%
- Best Return (5D)
- +0.96%
- Worst Return (5D)
- -7.77%
- Max Favourable Excursion
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -3.4%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -7.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.