20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FOXNASDAQFox Corporation Class B Common Stock | 2023-01-052023-02-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.53% |
| 2 | FOXANASDAQFox Corporation | 2023-01-052023-02-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.17% |
| 3 | SHWNYSEThe Sherwin-Williams Company | 2018-06-112018-07-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.40% |
| 4 | WATNYSEWaters Corporation | 2022-09-282022-10-25 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.58% |
| 5 | IDXXNASDAQIDEXX Laboratories, Inc. | 2022-09-282022-10-25 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +12.08% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 100% of the time with a median move of +2.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. No historical forward outcomes finished negative, though intra-window downside risk was elevated; the weakest final outcome was +0.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.