20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ICENYSEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc. | 2016-04-122016-05-09 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.42% |
| 2 | ITWNYSEIllinois Tool Works Inc. | 2024-10-082024-11-04 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.94% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 100% of the time with a median move of +2.2%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. No historical forward outcomes finished negative, with the weakest outcome at +0.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.