20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACNNYSEAccenture plc Class A | 2022-06-012022-06-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.15% |
| 2 | VMCNYSEVulcan Materials Company | 2018-01-242018-02-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.31% |
| 3 | KMINYSEKinder Morgan, Inc. | 2022-04-132022-05-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.21% |
| 4 | WMBNYSEThe Williams Companies, Inc. | 2022-04-132022-05-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.23% |
| 5 | DISNYSEThe Walt Disney Company | 2012-05-082012-06-05 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.43% |
| 6 | PKGNYSEPackaging Corporation of America | 2023-08-242023-09-21 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.51% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +2.8%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.