20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PNRNYSEPentair plc | 2007-08-032007-08-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.25% |
| 2 | PKGNYSEPackaging Corporation of America | 2017-02-242017-03-23 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.44% |
| 3 | CMCSANASDAQComcast Corp | 2020-12-082021-01-06 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.79% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 100% of the time with a median move of -1.3%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -1.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.