20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KEYSNYSEKeysight Technologies, Inc. | 2017-06-192017-07-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.31% |
| 2 | AVYNYSEAvery Dennison Corporation | 2023-11-242023-12-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.27% |
| 3 | HCANYSEHCA Healthcare Inc. | 2023-10-262023-11-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.00% |
| 4 | ITWNYSEIllinois Tool Works Inc. | 2015-01-132015-02-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.43% |
| 5 | NINYSENiSource Inc. | 2011-01-192011-02-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.84% |
| 6 | HPENYSEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company | 2024-05-162024-06-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.28% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 67% of the time with a median move of -0.6%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.