20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TMUSNASDAQT-Mobile US, Inc. | 2010-12-212011-01-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +8.30% |
| 2 | SOLVNYSESolventum Corporation | 2025-02-112025-03-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -0.78% |
| 3 | TXNNASDAQTexas Instruments Inc | 2024-01-052024-02-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +2.01% |
| 4 | LYVNYSELive Nation Entertainment, Inc. | 2017-02-072017-03-07 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.88% |
| 5 | ANYSEAgilent Technologies Inc. | 2006-12-132007-01-12 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -3.07% |
| 6 | RFNYSERegions Financial Corporation | 2019-10-222019-11-18 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +1.57% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +1.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.