20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCHPNASDAQMicrochip Technology Incorporated | 2020-09-092020-10-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.78% |
| 2 | KLACNASDAQKLA Corporation | 2020-09-092020-10-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +10.06% |
| 3 | KMBNASDAQKimberly-Clark Corporation | 2019-07-222019-08-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.64% |
| 4 | WDAYNASDAQWorkday Inc. | 2013-12-172014-01-15 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.72% |
| 5 | AMPNYSEAmeriprise Financial, Inc. | 2009-12-162010-01-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.38% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 60% of the time with a median move of +0.7%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.