20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ITWNYSEIllinois Tool Works Inc. | 2015-09-152015-10-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.06% |
| 2 | GENNASDAQGen Digital Inc. | 2009-06-242009-07-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.25% |
| 3 | OKENYSEONEOK, Inc. | 2016-07-142016-08-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +6.58% |
| 4 | CDNSNASDAQCadence Design Systems, Inc. | 2015-10-082015-11-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.49% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +1.4%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.